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Wallypilot Search Trends Analysis

Comprehensive Performance Insights from 300,000 Search Keywords

Summary

This comprehensive analysis of Walmart search results examines search performance data across 300,000 keywords to uncover actionable insights for digital marketing optimization. Our investigation reveals significant competitive advantages for top-ranked search positions, identifies high-value market opportunities, and provides our opinion on how to apply these insights.

300K
Keywords Analyzed
5.5%
Avg Click Share (Item 1)
20.5%
Avg Conversion Share (Item 1)
2.6pp
Position 1 Advantage

Key Finding

Top-ranked search items demonstrate statistically significant advantages in both click share (5.5% vs 2.9%) and conversion share (20.5% vs 9.7%), with diminishing returns beyond the first position. This pattern holds across all keyword categories and provides clear strategic direction for search marketing optimization.

1. Performance Distribution Analysis

Our analysis of search performance distributions reveals fundamental patterns in how users interact with search results and convert across different keyword categories.

Statistical Distribution Insights

Metric Mean Median Standard Deviation Skewness Interpretation
Click Share - Item 1 5.50% 3.45% 6.25% 3.26 Highly right-skewed, most keywords perform below average
Conversion Share - Item 1 20.50% 13.64% 21.04% 2.09 Right-skewed with higher variance than clicks
Click Share - Item 2 2.91% 2.07% 2.84% 2.84 Consistently lower than Item 1, similar skewness
Conversion Share - Item 2 9.68% 6.82% 9.16% 1.98 Significant drop from Item 1 performance
Mean vs Median Performance Comparison

Distribution Analysis Insight

The highly right-skewed distributions indicate that a small percentage of keywords drive disproportionate performance. This Pareto-like pattern suggests that focusing on the top 20% of performing keywords could yield 80% of the total value, making keyword selection and optimization critical for success.

Outlier Analysis

Using the Interquartile Range (IQR) method, we identified 5-7% outliers across all metrics. Notable outliers include:

2. Competitive Positioning Analysis

Our investigation into competitive dynamics reveals clear hierarchies in search performance and quantifies the advantages of top-ranked positions.

Position Advantage Analysis

Comparison Click Share Difference Conversion Share Difference Statistical Significance
Item 1 vs Item 2 +2.59 percentage points +10.82 percentage points p < 0.001 (highly significant)
Item 2 vs Item 3 +0.96 percentage points +3.65 percentage points p < 0.001 (highly significant)
Position Advantage: Click Share vs Conversion Share by Ranking

Correlation Analysis

The correlation matrix reveals important relationships between performance metrics:

Competitive Positioning Insight

The weak negative correlation between click and conversion shares suggests that high traffic doesn't guarantee high conversions. This indicates that keyword intent and user behavior vary significantly, requiring separate optimization strategies for traffic acquisition and conversion optimization.

3. Value Efficiency Analysis

Through advanced segmentation and efficiency scoring, we identified distinct keyword categories that enable targeted marketing strategies.

Market Segmentation Results

Category Percentage of Keywords Characteristics Strategic Implication
High Value, Low Competition 25% High conversion efficiency, moderate click share Prime targets for investment and optimization
High Value, High Competition 25% High performance across all metrics Defensive strategy to maintain position
Low Value, Low Competition 25% Below-average performance, low competition Opportunity for market development
Low Value, High Competition 25% High competition, low conversion efficiency Consider divestment or repositioning

Market Concentration Analysis

Using the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI), we assessed market concentration:

Value Efficiency Insight

The 25% of keywords classified as "High Value, Low Competition" represent the most attractive opportunities for investment. These keywords demonstrate strong conversion potential with manageable competition levels, suggesting optimal ROI potential for targeted optimization efforts.

4. Temporal and Seasonal Pattern Analysis

Our analysis of seasonal patterns reveals distinct performance cycles that enable proactive campaign planning and optimization.

Seasonal Keyword Identification

We identified seasonal patterns across multiple categories:

Seasonal Category Example Keywords Performance Characteristics Variance vs General
Halloween halloween candy, costumes, decorations Peak performance in September-October +45% conversion variance
Christmas christmas tree, ornaments, gifts Extended peak from November-December +38% conversion variance
Summer grill, cooler, fan, ice Gradual increase May-August +23% conversion variance
Health & Wellness vitamin, supplement, protein New Year peak, stable otherwise +15% conversion variance

Statistical Significance Testing

ANOVA testing confirmed significant seasonal differences:

Seasonal Pattern Insight

Seasonal keywords demonstrate 23% higher conversion variance compared to general keywords, indicating both higher risk and higher reward potential. This suggests that seasonal campaigns require careful timing and budget allocation to maximize performance during peak periods while maintaining baseline performance during off-seasons.

5. Top 10 Search Keywords - Product Performance

Analysis of the top 10 highest-ranking search keywords and their associated product performance metrics, showcasing the dominant products capturing click share and conversion share within each search category.

Top Product Performance by Keyword: Click Share vs Conversion Share
Brand Market Dominance Across Top Keywords

Conversion Efficiency by Category

PAPER TOWELS
72.0%
↑ Best CVR
TOILET PAPER
62.0%
↑ High CVR
SNACKS
49.1%
→ Medium CVR
BREAD
19.5%
↓ Low CVR

Milk (Rank #1)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Great Value Whole Vitamin D Milk, Gallon, Plastic, Jug, 128 fl oz Great Value 10.41% 1.45%
Great Value, 2% Reduced Fat Milk, Gallon, Refrigerated Great Value 5.05% 0.71%
Great Value Milk Whole Vitamin D, Half Gallon, Plastic, Jug, 64oz Great Value 2.87% 0.40%

Bread (Rank #2)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Great Value White Sandwich Bread, 20 oz Great Value 2.87% 0.56%
Great Value White Round Top Bread Loaf, 20 oz Great Value 2.06% 0.40%
Nature's Own Butterbread Sliced White Bread Loaf, 20 oz, Shelf-Stable Nature's Own 1.58% 0.31%

Chips (Rank #4)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Lay's Wavy Original Potato Chips, Party Size, 13 oz Bag Lay's 2.62% 0.92%
Ruffles Original Flavor Potato Snack Chips,Party Size, 13 oz Bag Ruffles 2.66% 0.93%
SunChips 100% Whole Grain Garden Salsa Snack Chips Bag, 7 oz SunChips 2.21% 0.77%

Toilet Paper (Rank #5)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Scott 1000 Toilet Paper, 12 Rolls, 1,000 Sheets per Roll Scott 4.24% 2.63%
Angel Soft 2-Ply Toilet Paper, Fresh Linen Scented Tube, 12 Mega Rolls Angel Soft 2.56% 1.59%
Angel Soft 2-Ply Toilet Paper, Fresh Lavender Scented Tube, 12 Mega Rolls Angel Soft 2.27% 1.41%

Eggs (Rank #6)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Great Value Large White Eggs, 18 Count Great Value 6.31% 0.96%
Great Value Large White Eggs, 12 Count Great Value 4.07% 0.62%
Great Value Large White Eggs, 60 Count Great Value 1.91% 0.29%

Snacks (Rank #7)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
RITZ Fresh Stacks Original Crackers, Travel Snacks, 11.8 oz (8 Multi Snack Packs) RITZ 1.16% 0.57%
Lunchables Turkey and Cheddar Cracker Stackers Value Pack Snack Kit, 1.9 oz Tray, Refrigerated Lunchables 0.32% 0.16%
RITZ Bits Cheese Sandwich Crackers, Snacks for Kids and Adults, Lunch Snacks, 8.8 oz RITZ 0.96% 0.47%

Butter (Rank #8)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Great Value Sweet Cream Salted Butter, 16 oz Box, 4 Sticks Great Value 3.79% 0.86%
Great Value Sweet Cream Unsalted Butter, 16 oz Box, 4 Sticks Great Value 1.77% 0.40%
Land O Lakes Salted Stick Butter, 16 oz box, 4 Sticks Land O Lakes 2.07% 0.47%

Paper Towels (Rank #9)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Sparkle Tear-a-Square Paper Towels, 6 Double Rolls Sparkle Towels 11.94% 8.60%
Sparkle Tear-a-Square Paper Towels, 2 Double Rolls Sparkle Towels 5.86% 4.22%
Scott Paper Towels, Choose-A-Sheet, 6 Double Rolls Scott 3.37% 2.43%

Chicken (Rank #10)

Product Name Brand Click Share Conversion Share
Boneless, Skinless Chicken Breasts, 4.7-6.1 lb Tray Freshness Guaranteed 2.10% 0.58%
Perdue Harvestland, Free Range, Fresh Chicken Breast Tenderloin Pieces, 0.8-1.7lb. Tray HARVESTLAND 0.86% 0.24%
Freshness Guaranteed Fresh Chicken Drumsticks, 5 lb Bag Freshness Guaranteed 0.61% 0.17%

Product Performance Insight

These top 10 search keywords reveal strong brand dominance patterns, with Great Value (Walmart's private label) capturing the majority of top positions across staple categories like milk, bread, eggs, and butter. Notable exceptions include premium brands in competitive categories like chips (Lay's, Ruffles) and paper products (Sparkle, Scott), where brand recognition drives both click share and conversion share.

Key Performance Highlights

11.94%
Highest Click Share
Paper Towels Category
8.60%
Highest Conversion Share
Paper Towels Category
5 / 9
Great Value Dominance
Top Positions (56%)
72%
Paper Towels CVR
Click to Conversion Ratio

Data Sources and Methodology

Data Sources

Analytical Methods

Analysis Type Methods Used Statistical Tests Significance Level
Descriptive Statistics Mean, median, quartiles, standard deviation Distribution analysis, skewness, kurtosis α = 0.05
Correlation Analysis Pearson and Spearman correlations Correlation significance testing α = 0.05
Competitive Analysis Paired t-tests, position comparisons T-tests for position advantages α = 0.001
Seasonal Analysis ANOVA, group comparisons F-tests for seasonal differences α = 0.05

6. Category Analysis

Through comprehensive analysis of 20,000 keywords across 10 random samples, we identified the most prominent product categories and their performance characteristics, providing strategic insights for category-focused marketing approaches.

Top 10 Most Prominent Categories

Rank Category Total Count Percentage Avg per Sample Strategic Importance
1 Food & Beverages 4,156 20.8% 416 High-volume, consistent demand
2 Seasonal & Holiday 1,341 6.7% 134 High-variance, opportunistic
3 Home & Garden 1,318 6.6% 132 Stable, year-round demand
4 Personal Care 955 4.8% 96 Premium pricing potential
5 Baby & Family 939 4.7% 94 Loyal customer base
6 Clothing & Fashion 729 3.6% 73 Seasonal with trend cycles
7 Health & Wellness 690 3.5% 69 Growing market segment
8 Pets & Animals 610 3.0% 61 Dedicated consumer spending
9 Automotive 456 2.3% 46 High-value transactions
10 Electronics & Technology 449 2.2% 45 Innovation-driven demand

Category Distribution Insight

Food & Beverages dominates the search landscape at 20.8% of all keywords, representing the largest addressable market with consistent year-round demand. The top 3 categories (Food & Beverages, Seasonal & Holiday, Home & Garden) account for 69.3% of all keywords, indicating significant market concentration that provides clear strategic direction for resource allocation.

Statistical Validation

Statistical Test Result Interpretation
Chi-square Statistic 28,527.701 Highly significant distribution pattern
P-value < 0.001 Statistically significant non-random distribution
Sample Consistency High Food & Beverages maintains #1 position across all samples
Category Concentration 69.3% Top 3 categories dominate the keyword landscape

Category Performance Characteristics

Food & Beverages (20.8%)

Seasonal & Holiday (6.7%)

Home & Garden (6.6%)

Personal Care (4.8%)

Cross-Category Performance Comparison

Category Avg Click Share Avg Conversion Share Efficiency Score Seasonality
Personal Care 3.8% 22.1% 5.82 Low
Health & Wellness 3.5% 19.4% 5.54 Medium
Baby & Family 4.1% 21.3% 5.20 Low
Electronics & Technology 2.9% 15.2% 5.24 High
Food & Beverages 4.2% 18.7% 4.45 Low

Cross-Category Insight

Personal Care and Health & Wellness categories demonstrate the highest conversion efficiency scores (5.82 and 5.54 respectively), indicating superior ROI potential despite lower search volumes. This suggests that focusing on these premium categories could yield better returns than volume-based strategies in commoditized categories like Food & Beverages.

Full Dataset Available

Access the Complete Dataset

This report analyzes 300,000 search keywords from Walmart's marketplace. Get the full dataset with all product metrics, rankings, and performance data to power your own analysis and strategy.

300K+
Search Keywords
900K+
Product Records
15+
Data Points/Product
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